Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | thomas mechin | 10-4 | None |
| Mono-Red Aggro | giovanni iannarelli | 10-4 | None |
| Gruul Aggro | emiliano paoli | 10-4 | None |
| Gruul Aggro | fuya | 7-2 | 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12772663 |
| Jeskai Oculus | claudiobisioo | 9-5 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | daniele bressan | 8-6 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | naoto shimizu | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Control | shunsuke kimura | 6-2 | None |
| Rakdos Midrange | ryohei takezawa | 6-2 | None |
| Jeskai Oculus | daisuke nakamichi | 6-2 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Gruul Aggro , Gruul Dragons , Gruul Leyline , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Convoke , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro , Rakdos Midrange
Meta Performance Analysis
Magma Spray ranks #335 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 7%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Magma Spray is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.
Recommended number of copies: 4
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 5.72 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.4%. Magma Spray has a win rate of 53.4%, making it 12.7% better than other 1-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disallow | Instant | 6 | 59.5% | 0 |
| Essence Scatter | Instant | 6 | 58.4% | 0 |
| Abrade | Instant | 5 | 54.8% | 0 |
| Censor | Instant | 5 | 53.7% | 0 |
| Glimmer of Genius | Instant | 5 | 53.7% | 0 |
| Harnessed Lightning | Instant | 6 | 53.1% | 0 |
| Thing in the Ice | Creature — Horror | 7 | 51.6% | 0 |
| Commit/Memory | Instant | 8 | 49.6% | 0 |
| Glorybringer | Creature — Dragon | 7 | 49.5% | 0 |
| Sweltering Suns | Sorcery | 8 | 48.5% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Magma Spray than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roast | Sorcery | 2 | 10 | 68.5% | 55.8% | +12.7% |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 1 | 6 | 65.4% | 55.1% | +10.2% |
| Arc Lightning | Sorcery | 3 | 7 | 61.5% | 54.7% | +6.9% |
| Harnessed Lightning | Instant | 2 | 7 | 56.8% | 52.9% | +3.8% |
| Glorybringer | Creature — Dragon | 5 | 7 | 56.8% | 53.2% | +3.7% |
| Disallow | Instant | 3 | 6 | 58.5% | 54.8% | +3.7% |
| Abrade | Instant | 2 | 11 | 58.1% | 55.1% | +3.1% |
| Hordeling Outburst | Sorcery | 3 | 6 | 56.4% | 55.2% | +1.2% |
| Keranos, God of Storms | Legendary Enchantment Creature — God | 5 | 11 | 54.2% | 53.2% | +1.0% |
| Shock | Instant | 1 | 5 | 55.0% | 54.7% | +0.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeskai Oculus | 27 | 3.6% | 43.8% |
| Izzet Prowess | 22 | 2.2% | 45.0% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 12 | 2.8% | 53.5% |
| Jeskai Control | 4 | 1.1% | 42.1% |
| Jeskai Convoke | 3 | 0.5% | 5.6% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.